Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.005183 0.005473 0.005772 0.006105 0.006466 0.006846 0.007278
2025-11-30 0.004621 0.005034 0.005481 0.006002 0.006597 0.007257 0.008051
2025-12-07 0.004272 0.004750 0.005282 0.005923 0.006681 0.007554 0.008649
2025-12-14 0.004044 0.004570 0.005170 0.005912 0.006815 0.007889 0.009286
2025-12-21 0.003761 0.004302 0.004931 0.005723 0.006709 0.007914 0.009525
2025-12-28 0.003624 0.004196 0.004872 0.005741 0.006847 0.008233 0.010146
2026-01-04 0.003531 0.004134 0.004858 0.005807 0.007042 0.008630 0.010888
2026-01-11 0.003397 0.004014 0.004765 0.005765 0.007090 0.008830 0.011370
2026-01-18 0.003291 0.003922 0.004701 0.005753 0.007172 0.009075 0.011926
2026-01-25 0.003179 0.003817 0.004613 0.005703 0.007197 0.009240 0.012371
2026-02-01 0.003143 0.003807 0.004647 0.005814 0.007444 0.009724 0.013321
2026-02-08 0.003057 0.003728 0.004585 0.005791 0.007501 0.009937 0.013870
2026-02-15 0.002982 0.003661 0.004538 0.005789 0.007589 0.010202 0.014526
2026-02-22 0.002878 0.003554 0.004433 0.005699 0.007545 0.010266 0.014863
2026-03-01 0.002787 0.003460 0.004342 0.005625 0.007519 0.010354 0.015243
2026-03-08 0.002725 0.003402 0.004298 0.005615 0.007586 0.010586 0.015881
2026-03-15 0.002608 0.003267 0.004143 0.005439 0.007394 0.010399 0.015776
2026-03-22 0.002563 0.003229 0.004121 0.005455 0.007494 0.010683 0.016525
2026-03-29 0.002536 0.003214 0.004131 0.005517 0.007667 0.011094 0.017538
2026-04-05 0.002478 0.003154 0.004074 0.005478 0.007678 0.011235 0.018058
2026-04-12 0.002432 0.003109 0.004038 0.005466 0.007733 0.011452 0.018741
2026-04-19 0.002376 0.003050 0.003980 0.005420 0.007728 0.011565 0.019230
2026-04-26 0.002369 0.003058 0.004018 0.005523 0.007971 0.012124 0.020668